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Tamitha Skov - Propagation forecast

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    Tamitha Skov - Propagation forecast

    Tamitha Skov propagation forecast.
    73 Al 4L5A
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    #2
    Propagation forecast 6 - 15-17 June 2017
    Space Weather gets more exciting this week with a big coronal hole rotating into the Earth-strike zone in a few days. The region surrounding the coronal hole is also a bit unstable so multiple mini-eruptions have launched, which may be Earth directed as well. Together with the fast wind from the coronal hole this means we should get a good chance for more solar storming starting in the next few days. Expect amateur radio to have issues through the early part of the weekend with a good chance of aurora, especially at high latitudes. GPS/GNSS users should also be alert to issues during the storm and anywhere near active aurora.

    73 Al 4L5A

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      #3
      Propagation forecast from 14 July 2017
      Space Weather this week has gotten extremely busy with a new M-flare player on the Sun. Region 2665 has already fired off two M-class flares, a radiation storm, and a massive solar storm that should hit earth by July 17. All of this is causing moderate issues with the amateur radio bands and issues with GPS/GNSS are expected, especially at high latitudes. On the positive side, when the solar storm hits, we could get a spectacular chance of seeing aurora down to mid-latitudes. See details of the coming solar storm, learn how the ongoing radiation storm might affect your flight plans, and find out what else the Sun has in store.



      73 Al 4L5A

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        #4
        Are you ready for the Eclipse August 21st? Did you know it brings its own unique kind of Space Weather? Learn more about how the eclipse will affect you, see when the next solar storm will hit and where aurora might be visible, and catch the recent flare activity from the new sunspot that has rotated into Earth view this week.
        73 Al 4L5A

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          #5
          Tamitha Skov Forecast 30 August 2017
          Even though the eclipse is over the Sun remains busy. We have some fast wind expected to hit Earth in the next 24 hours that should raise us to storm levels. That will be compounded by a glancing blow from a solar storm going mainly west of Earth. Together these effects should bring us some decent aurora, possibly to mid-latitudes. We also have 3 active regions firing off C-class flares that are keeping the amateur radio


          73 Al 4L5A

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            #6
            The Sun has surprised many by firing 3 X-class flares and sending two solar storms towards Earth at a time when most are expecting the Sun to quiet down on its approach to solar minimum. Active region 2673 continues to be very complex and will be an X-flare player until it rotates out of view around the Sun's west limb in a few days. Along with the first of two solar storms hitting now, this spells trouble for emergency

            73 Al 4L5A

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              #7
              Despite a spotless Sun, solar activity picks up this week with some fast wind that has bumped us up to storm levels. Catch up on aurora shots from the big solar storm at the beginning of October, learn why emergency responders are having trouble with communications, and see what else the Sun has in store.

              73 Al 4L5A

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                #8
                Again we find ourselves with a spotless Sun, yet a huge solar storm hits Earth and brings stunning aurora clear down to Germany and Nebraska! This is due to the fast solar wind from a dark coronal hole that will linger in the Earth strike zone for the next day or two. This storm is compounding amateur radio issues we already are having due to the very low solar flux. Luckily, this will change next week. See how long the effects from this ongoing solar storm and spotless Sun are expected to last, catch up on aurora pictures, and see what else the Sun has in store.

                73 Al 4L5A

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                  #9
                  Tamitha Skov Propagation 16 November 2017
                  The Sun's activity picks up this week with several pockets of fast wind expected to spark aurora at high latitudes. A slight chance for mid-latitude aurora also is expected later in the week. A new active region has also rotated into view this week and has given us a much needed boost in solar flux. Amateur radio operators and emergency responders should enjoy improved communications over HF radio for the next two weeks. Learn the details of this new solar activity and how the Sun will affect you this week.

                  73 Al 4L5A

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                    #10
                    Tamitha Skov Solar Storm Forcast 29 November 2017
                    We await the arrival of a glancing blow from a mini-solar storm due to hit today. Although its not expected to be a strong impact, effects might be enhanced by some fast solar wind pushing it from behind. NOAA is expecting storm conditions, especially at high latitudes over the next day or so. Solar flux remains at the low end of marginal so while not optimal, HF radio propagation continues to limp along. At least we have no threat for any major flares and radio blackouts. Learn details of these solar conditions and the coming solar storm, catch up on aurora photos from recent activity, and see what else the Sun has in store this week.


                    73 Al 4L5A

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                      #11
                      Tamitha Skov Forecast 14 December 2017.
                      The Sun's face gets a lot more active this week with two coronal holes and two active regions rotating into Earth view. This means we get two more chances for some fast solar wind to cause us to reach solar storm conditions with some aurora while the Sun gives us a nice boost in the solar flux for radio propagation without any risk of big flares. The good news is just in time for the holidays for aurora photographers, amateur radio operators, and GPS operators. See details of the coming storms, how long the Sun has will keep up its brightness up, and what else is in store this week.



                      73 Al 4L5A

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                        #12
                        The Sun Gives Gifts for the Holidays: Solar Storm Forecast 12-23-2017 From Tamitha Skov.
                        Although the Sun has been under-performing lately and things have gone quiet, we have another chance for some activity as a mini-solar storm has been launched in the Earth-strike zone and it will be followed by some fast solar wind. This means we might have a good chance for aurora over the holidays. Amateur radio and emergency responders also get the gift of a boosted solar flux thanks to region 2692, which should help radio propagation. GPS/GNSS operators are also in luck because 2692 is active, but not active enough to be a threat for radio blackouts. Learn the details of the coming storm, catch up on aurora photographs, and see what else the Sun has in store!

                        73 Al 4L5A

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                          #13
                          Poor Conditions for Emergency Responders: Solar Storm Forecast 01-06-2018 Tamitha Skov.

                          The Sun continues its slow descent into solar minimum with very low activity and shrinking coronal holes. This means a very quiet week for Space Weather. Amateur radio operators and emergency responders will have to deal with very low solar flux due to the absence of active regions on the Earth-facing Sun. Luckily, aurora photographers can look forward to another chance for a solar storm at the beginning of next week. Catch up on aurora photos, learn how long the poor radio propagation conditions are expected to last, and see what else the Sun has in store!



                          73 Al 4L5A

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