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Tamitha Skov - Propagation forecast

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    #11
    Tamitha Skov Forecast 14 December 2017.
    The Sun's face gets a lot more active this week with two coronal holes and two active regions rotating into Earth view. This means we get two more chances for some fast solar wind to cause us to reach solar storm conditions with some aurora while the Sun gives us a nice boost in the solar flux for radio propagation without any risk of big flares. The good news is just in time for the holidays for aurora photographers, amateur radio operators, and GPS operators. See details of the coming storms, how long the Sun has will keep up its brightness up, and what else is in store this week.



    73 Al 4L5A

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      #12
      The Sun Gives Gifts for the Holidays: Solar Storm Forecast 12-23-2017 From Tamitha Skov.
      Although the Sun has been under-performing lately and things have gone quiet, we have another chance for some activity as a mini-solar storm has been launched in the Earth-strike zone and it will be followed by some fast solar wind. This means we might have a good chance for aurora over the holidays. Amateur radio and emergency responders also get the gift of a boosted solar flux thanks to region 2692, which should help radio propagation. GPS/GNSS operators are also in luck because 2692 is active, but not active enough to be a threat for radio blackouts. Learn the details of the coming storm, catch up on aurora photographs, and see what else the Sun has in store!

      73 Al 4L5A

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        #13
        Poor Conditions for Emergency Responders: Solar Storm Forecast 01-06-2018 Tamitha Skov.

        The Sun continues its slow descent into solar minimum with very low activity and shrinking coronal holes. This means a very quiet week for Space Weather. Amateur radio operators and emergency responders will have to deal with very low solar flux due to the absence of active regions on the Earth-facing Sun. Luckily, aurora photographers can look forward to another chance for a solar storm at the beginning of next week. Catch up on aurora photos, learn how long the poor radio propagation conditions are expected to last, and see what else the Sun has in store!



        73 Al 4L5A

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          #14
          A Sunspot Fizzles While Storms Head to Earth: Solar Storm Forecast: 03-08-2018 Tamitha Skov

          The Sun's activity both fizzles and picks up this week. Old region 2699 that we had high hopes would boost the solar flux as it rotated into earth view has fizzled. This means amateur radio and emergency communicators will continue to suffer from poor radio propagation this week. But the Sun counters by launching several solar storms, one that is Earth directed. Along with the remnants of a coronal hole sending us some sporadic fast wind, we should expect a mild disturbance from this activity to last several days. Aurora is easily possible down to high latitudes and we might even get some short-lived shows at mid-latitudes as well. learn the details of the coming solar storm, what happened to the old active region 2699, and what else the Sun has in store.



          73 Al 4L5A

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            #15
            A New Active Region Brightens the Sun for Easter: Solar Storm Forecast 03-29-2018 Tamitha Skov

            A new active region rotates into Earth-view this week upping the solar flux and giving amateur radio and emergency communicators something to cheer about over this spring break holiday.

            Aurora photographers, who have been busy the past couple of weeks catching elusive aurora over many parts of the world can take a break and GPS users, especially at high latitudes can expect quieter conditions this week.

            Catch up on aurora photographs form the recent solar storms, learn more about this active region rotating into view and see when to expect the next set of solar storms!



            73 Al 4L5A

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              #16
              A Bright Region Fizzles & A Dark Hole Looms: Solar Storm Forecast 04-05-2018 Tamitha Skov

              The Sun has settled down this week after what looked to be a promising beginning. We had high hopes for region 2703 as it rotated into Earth view, but it has since fizzled and we are now once again with a spotless Sun. The bright region that was once 2703 remains visible and it still shows signs of life, but solar flux remains at solar minimum conditions. This is bad news for amateur radio operators and emergency responders, who were hoping for better radio propagation. As for aurora, there is a small chance this week for shows at high latitudes due to a remnant coronal hole sending pockets of fast solar wind, but things will likely remain quiet at mid-latitudes. However, more chances for solar storming come next week, when a large coronal hole gives us a much better chance for aurora. Catch more details on this coronal hole, learn how region 2703 is affecting amateur radio and GPS operations, and see what else the Sun has in store this week!




              73 Al 4L5A

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                #17
                A Peek into the New Cycle: Solar Storm Forecast 12 April 2018 Tamitha Skov

                Fast solar wind bombards Earth this week from a large coronal hole gracing much of the Sun's face.
                We have already reached storm conditions from the early blast of this wind, with aurora dipping down into mid-latitudes.
                We will likely reach active conditions again sporadically throughout this week.
                Aurora photographers should stay on their toes, especially at high-latitudes.
                Amateur radio operators should enjoy auroral propagation modes, especially at night, and GPS users should enjoy clear signals away from the aurora.
                On top of this storm, the Sun gives us a momentary glimpse at an active region that looks to be coming from the new solar cycle.
                As cycles typically overlap each other by a few years, this is not uncommon. In fact, we will see more and more of it in the coming months.
                See details on this current solar storm & where aurora might be lurking, learn how ham radio & GPS fares this week, and glimpse into the future of our star!



                73 Al 4L5A

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                  #18
                  Special Report From Switzerland: Solar Storm Forecast 18 April 2018 Tamitha Skov

                  This week I get help doing the forecast from a team of stealthy solar storm experts, who have all gathered in Bern, Switzerland for an ISSI team meeting.
                  The Sun has also chosen this week to become quite active with multiple bright regions that will boost the solar flux for amateur radio operators and emergency responders.
                  We also have a coronal hole that will be sending us some fast solar wind in the next few days, which brings good news for aurora photographers, especially at high latitudes.
                  Come meet the ISSI team of physicists, who are helping shape the future of space weather prediction, catch up on some recent aurora photos, and see what else the Sun has in store!



                  73 Al 4L5A

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