ARRL DX Contest 2009 CW

I wanted to publish this summary later, but finally decided to do it now. Although ARRL DX CW 2009 will take place in more than a month, many contesters are already concerned about "where to go?".
I believe that this information will help them to make a final decision.
The table below is made of the last 10 years ARRL DX CW results (Many thanks to Girt YL2KL for appropriate information).

Here is the table:

		160		80		40		20		15		10					Q/h
1998	8P9JG	269	46	598	57	1198	57	1262	57	1161	56	1376	58	5864	331	5822952	122
1998	FM5DN	192	37	504	55	893	56	1043	58	1085	59	751	54	4468	319	4275876	93
1999	P40W	233	48	477	56	687	57	1058	58	1065	58	1406	59	4926	336	4965408	103
	WP3R	270	48	358	52	707	58	911	58	832	57	1502	59	4580	332	4561680	95
	3E1CW	285	49	235	49	910	58	934	58	1105	57	1066	58	4345	329	4476045	91
2000	ZF2NT	299	45	495	55	854	53	1199	55	1203	55	1167	54	5217	317	4961367	109
	HC8L	348	50	406	51	784	54	879	54	996	55	1762	55	5175	319	4952475	108
	TI5N	218	47	482	54	848	53	844	55	1189	55	1106	55	4687	319	4485459	98
2001	8P5A	353	51	555	54	807	56	1055	57	1128	58	1165	57	5063	333	5057937	105
	ZF2NT	351	52	531	56	704	57	1105	57	1072	57	1036	57	4799	336	4837392	100
	P49V	320	50	384	54	533	55	722	56	858	57	1383	58	4200	330	4158000	88
2002	KH7R	255	51	473	54	740	56	587	58	933	59	1303	60	4291	338	4351074	89
	EA8BH	202	42	404	55	525	56	989	60	1053	58	1146	58	4319	329	4262853	90
	VP5U	142	41	373	50	536	57	932	58	1201	58	1015	57	4199	321	4043637	87
	V31JP	153	41	442	53	927	57	947	58	714	58	797	56	3980	323	3856620	83
	FG/YL2KL	139	36	506	54	521	55	860	57	901	58	924	59	3851	319	3685407	80
2003	WP3R	222	52	611	59	997	60	1092	58	1189	58	1304	58	5375	343	5530875	112
	P40T	279	50	552	55	821	58	1225	59	1228	58	1274	59	5353	339	5444001	112
	D4B	171	43	473	54	820	57	1320	59	1496	59	1264	58	5345	328	5259480	111
2004	D4B	392	53	968	59	964	57	1207	59	1326	57	1375	57	6087	342	6245262	127
	V31DJ													5406	339	5479902	113
	P40Y	333	52	521	59	1002	58	1266	59	1144	59	1010	56	5180	342	5314680	108
2005	8P5A	295	50	569	56	1231	58	1460	59	1296	59	1153	59	6004	341	6142092	125.1
	9Y4W	181	47	640	55	1177	59	1395	58	1392	59	1177	58	5962	336	6009696	124.2
	P49Y	261	48	518	57	1021	59	1463	59	1365	59	1196	59	5824	341	5957952	121.3
2006	8P9PA	350	53	694	57	1282	59	1230	58	1178	58	534	51	5268	336	5304096	109.8
	P40W	360	54	679	58	944	58	1273	58	1102	59	542	54	4900	341	5012000	102.1
	HI3TEJ	434	58	640	59	1114	59	1192	59	1302	59	94	32	4776	326	4670928	99.5
	V31PP	439	58	731	58	1032	58	1181	59	1407	59	116	30	4906	322	4613616	102.2
	CU2A	342	50	581	57	1040	59	1316	59	1346	59	13	10	4638	294	4003398	96.6
	HK1AR	138	38	136	40	1200	59	1074	58	918	56	470	53	3936	304	3589632	82.0
2007	P40W	417	58	880	58	1110	59	1311	59	1488	59	167	35	5373	328	5078862	111.9
	ZF2AM	378	58	715	58	1533	58	1424	58	1296	57	100	22	5446	311	4932414	113.5
	PJ4A	316	54	756	57	1411	58	1370	59	1218	59	111	28	5182	315	4754160	108.0
2008	V31UZ	282	47	660	59	1321	59	1409	58	1273	58	61	14	5006	295	4276632	104.3
	KH7X															3397698	0.0
	KH6NF	160	42	581	56	1033	56	1018	57	723	51	19	5	3534	267	2714796	73.6
	EA8EA	119	27	503	55	1120	59	1237	60	470	48	0	0	3449	249	2550999	71.9




AVERAGE		265	46	501	53	865	55	1065	56	1103	56	982	52	4933	329	4881671	102.8

MAX.		439	58	968	59	1321	60	1463	60	1496	59	1762	60	6087	343	6245262	127

Of course motivation is the most important in High Score achievement. It is quite significant for me.
For example my result in 2003 versus 2004.
Back in 2003 my goal was to win the first place in Africa. I did it having set up a new record. But when I saw final scores I realised that my motivation was completely wrong! As you can see I was World #3 having lost only 30 QSO's the Winner!!
On the next year my motivation was different.
Regarding the "best QTH".
According to the table above only twice during the last 10 years Caribbean stations did not win (once Africa and once Oceania took first places).
If follow Girt YL2KL - 9Y4 is byond compare, his score is quite worthy.
According to the last year summary, EA8 is not the QTH for ARRL because loss is too high compared to winners.
Although Low Bands conditions must have been very good no one, except for Yuri VE3DZ/V31UZ on 40 m, managed to achieve the highest ever 40m Band score.
It is worth to commend an excellent 10 m result of HC8L. I think that it's one of the best QTH'es to enter ARRL.
Still there's not so much information about planned expeditions at NG3K but about some of them, not listed yet, I know.
N6TJ is going somewhere to Caribbean, KP4 or KP2.
Girt will be active as D4C.
Well, let's discover and discuss more and more information and estimate (or guess) who may become The Winner untill this contest of prestige start...
73 Al 4L5A

Rating
1	2	3	4	5

Where to go for ARRL DX 2009