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Tamitha Skov - Propagation forecast

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  • 4L5A
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    A Horse Gallops into the Earth-Strike Zone: Solar Storm Forecast 31 May 2018. Tamitha Skov.

    Solar activity stays elevated this week as a big coronal hole sends us some fast solar wind that could bump us up to storm levels. Aurora photographers should be ready for aurora views over the next couple of days. These views could reach mid-latitudes for a short while and linger at high latitudes through early next week. Amateur radio operators are also enjoying marginal radio propagation this week due to bright region 2712 with the promise of new regions rotating into Earth-view in a couple of days. GPS operators should also be enjoying clean reception of signals this week on the Earth's dayside. However, once the solar storm hits, GPS might have issues near aurora and near the dawn-dusk terminators. Learn the details of the coming storm and see what else our Sun has in store.



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  • 4L5A
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    Rise & Shine with Solar Flares: Solar Storm Forecast 24 May 2018. Tamitha Skov.

    The Sun wakes up this week with several new bright regions that have rotated into Earth-view. The newest of these regions has been actively firing solar flares since it was on the Sun's backside. All this activity has boosted the solar flux so amateur radio operators and emergency responders are enjoying decent radio propagation. Meanwhile some pockets of fast wind continue to pummel Earth, keeping things at unsettled conditions. The wind isn't fast enough to bring us up to storm levels and bring aurora down to mid-latitudes, but it is enough to help improve GPS reception at low latitudes. Learn more about the new active regions, when the next solar storm is expected, and what else the Sun has in store for us this week.



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  • 4L5A
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    The Sun Celebrates Cinco de Mayo: Solar Storm Forecast 10 May 2018 Tamitha Skov

    Space Weather begins to calm down this week as we move through the latter part of a fast solar wind stream.
    This fast wind brought us a moderate level solar storm early this week and aurora was seen as far south as Colorado.
    Catch up on aurora pictures, learn why amateur radio propagation is back in the marginal range, and what else our Sun has in store for us.



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  • 4L5A
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    Stealthy Solar Storms On the Rise: Solar Storm Forecast 3 May 2018 Tamitha Skov

    The Sun gives us a reprieve this week, after we got hit by a surprisingly strong, but stealthy solar storm a little more than a week ago. Catch up on aurora pictures, see when amateur radio will improve, and learn when the next solar storm will hit Earth.



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  • 4L5A
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    Special Report From Switzerland: Solar Storm Forecast 18 April 2018 Tamitha Skov

    This week I get help doing the forecast from a team of stealthy solar storm experts, who have all gathered in Bern, Switzerland for an ISSI team meeting.
    The Sun has also chosen this week to become quite active with multiple bright regions that will boost the solar flux for amateur radio operators and emergency responders.
    We also have a coronal hole that will be sending us some fast solar wind in the next few days, which brings good news for aurora photographers, especially at high latitudes.
    Come meet the ISSI team of physicists, who are helping shape the future of space weather prediction, catch up on some recent aurora photos, and see what else the Sun has in store!



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  • 4L5A
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    A Peek into the New Cycle: Solar Storm Forecast 12 April 2018 Tamitha Skov

    Fast solar wind bombards Earth this week from a large coronal hole gracing much of the Sun's face.
    We have already reached storm conditions from the early blast of this wind, with aurora dipping down into mid-latitudes.
    We will likely reach active conditions again sporadically throughout this week.
    Aurora photographers should stay on their toes, especially at high-latitudes.
    Amateur radio operators should enjoy auroral propagation modes, especially at night, and GPS users should enjoy clear signals away from the aurora.
    On top of this storm, the Sun gives us a momentary glimpse at an active region that looks to be coming from the new solar cycle.
    As cycles typically overlap each other by a few years, this is not uncommon. In fact, we will see more and more of it in the coming months.
    See details on this current solar storm & where aurora might be lurking, learn how ham radio & GPS fares this week, and glimpse into the future of our star!



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  • 4L5A
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    A Bright Region Fizzles & A Dark Hole Looms: Solar Storm Forecast 04-05-2018 Tamitha Skov

    The Sun has settled down this week after what looked to be a promising beginning. We had high hopes for region 2703 as it rotated into Earth view, but it has since fizzled and we are now once again with a spotless Sun. The bright region that was once 2703 remains visible and it still shows signs of life, but solar flux remains at solar minimum conditions. This is bad news for amateur radio operators and emergency responders, who were hoping for better radio propagation. As for aurora, there is a small chance this week for shows at high latitudes due to a remnant coronal hole sending pockets of fast solar wind, but things will likely remain quiet at mid-latitudes. However, more chances for solar storming come next week, when a large coronal hole gives us a much better chance for aurora. Catch more details on this coronal hole, learn how region 2703 is affecting amateur radio and GPS operations, and see what else the Sun has in store this week!




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  • 4L5A
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    A New Active Region Brightens the Sun for Easter: Solar Storm Forecast 03-29-2018 Tamitha Skov

    A new active region rotates into Earth-view this week upping the solar flux and giving amateur radio and emergency communicators something to cheer about over this spring break holiday.

    Aurora photographers, who have been busy the past couple of weeks catching elusive aurora over many parts of the world can take a break and GPS users, especially at high latitudes can expect quieter conditions this week.

    Catch up on aurora photographs form the recent solar storms, learn more about this active region rotating into view and see when to expect the next set of solar storms!



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  • 4L5A
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    A Sunspot Fizzles While Storms Head to Earth: Solar Storm Forecast: 03-08-2018 Tamitha Skov

    The Sun's activity both fizzles and picks up this week. Old region 2699 that we had high hopes would boost the solar flux as it rotated into earth view has fizzled. This means amateur radio and emergency communicators will continue to suffer from poor radio propagation this week. But the Sun counters by launching several solar storms, one that is Earth directed. Along with the remnants of a coronal hole sending us some sporadic fast wind, we should expect a mild disturbance from this activity to last several days. Aurora is easily possible down to high latitudes and we might even get some short-lived shows at mid-latitudes as well. learn the details of the coming solar storm, what happened to the old active region 2699, and what else the Sun has in store.



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  • 4L5A
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    Poor Conditions for Emergency Responders: Solar Storm Forecast 01-06-2018 Tamitha Skov.

    The Sun continues its slow descent into solar minimum with very low activity and shrinking coronal holes. This means a very quiet week for Space Weather. Amateur radio operators and emergency responders will have to deal with very low solar flux due to the absence of active regions on the Earth-facing Sun. Luckily, aurora photographers can look forward to another chance for a solar storm at the beginning of next week. Catch up on aurora photos, learn how long the poor radio propagation conditions are expected to last, and see what else the Sun has in store!



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